Friday, January 22, 2010

2010-01-22: Conference Championships

It is time for the Conference Championship games. Both sets of teams have worked hard to make it this far but only two can go to the Superbowl. This week all of our Data Mining algorithms are in agreement as to who the winners should be.

For the AFC Championship, Indianapolis hosts the Jets at 3:00PM EST. The Colts with Peyton Manning have arguably one of the best pass offenses in the League however their rushing game leaves a little to be desired. The Jets have one of the best defenses and their pass defense has given up less yards than just about every other team over they year. The algorithms call for the Colts to win but if I was a betting man I would wager that even with a loss that the Jets would cover the spread.

For the NFC Championship, the New Orleans Saints host the Vikings at 6:40 PM EST. The Saints have had a phenomenal offense this year with some explosive plays. Their defense however has been lackluster. The defense seems to be better at forcing turnovers that actually defending. Although the metrics indicate that turnovers are very important in winning a game. I just don't see the Vikings pulling this off. Vegas has the Saints - Vikings much closer than Colts - Jets, but our algorithms have the Saints beating the Vikings by a higher percentage than the Colts beating Jets.

The Superbowl represents the culmination of a life-long dream for many of the participants and regardless of the outcome this should be an exciting weekend for all football fans.

-- Greg Szalkowski

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