Thursday, November 17, 2011

2011-11-17: 2011 NFL Season Week 11


Thursday Night Football, this week the NY Jets play at Denver. The Jets have a number of players on the injured list this week. Even with those injuries all three of our algorithms picked the Jets to win on Thursday.

The Jets injury list is not as bad as some of the other teams. Philadelphia's quarterback, Vick has two broken ribs and has not been at practice all week. Kansas City's quarterback Matt Cassel underwent hand surgery and will probably be out for the rest of the season.

A weakness of our algorithms is that they are heavily based on this years performance to date. A major injury to an important player that may or may not have an impact of game performance is not really taken into account. That is one of the reasons we have incorporated the Line data this year. Hoping that the "Collective Intelligence" of the crowd would help to point out teams that may not perform differently.




Favorite Spread Underdog Discrete Pagerank
NYJ 4.5 at DEN NYJ NYJ
at ATL 4 TEN ATL TEN
BUF 3.6 at MIA MIA BUF
at BAL 5 CIN BAL BAL
JAX 7 at CLE JAX JAX
at MIN 5 OAK MIN OAK
at DET 11 CAR DET DET
at GB 18 TB GB GB
DAL 8 WAS DAL DAL
at SF 8 ARI SF SF
at STL 2 SEA SEA SEA
at CHI 5 SD CHI CHI
at NYG 7 PHI NYG PHI
at NE 8 KC NE NE


-- Greg Szalkowski

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