The Colts bring up an issue that I alluded to last week that I had to deal with before running this weeks algorithms. Because Indianapolis sat their starters for the past few weeks I need to decide whether or not to exclude those weeks from the calculations. If I include weeks 16 and 17 for Indy then Baltimore comes out as the predicted winner. However if I ignore those weeks then the Colts are the pick.
We felt that that those two weeks are not indicative of the true performance of the Colts during the playoffs so we dropped Indianapolis's performance numbers for those weeks and ran the algorithms and this is what we came up with.